| （1.上海体育学院 体育教育训练学院，上海 200438；2.长沙师范学院 体育科学学院，湖南 长沙 410100；3.安徽大学 体育部，安徽 合肥 230039） 摘 要：为探索足球发展相关规律，对国际足联官网公布的积分和人力资源大数据进行分析，构建足球强国积分与人力资源的结构方程模型。解析结构方程模型可知：足球强国是组织度、饱和度和规模度共同作用的结果，三者与积分的关系由近至远，但影响效应依次增大；此外，足球强国存在两条主线，一条是人才成长链，另一条是文化生成链。对比可知，我国的认识存在以下不足：在人才培养方面忽略业余球员的价值；在文化建设方面没有认识到足球人口密度的意义；整体上不够明确足球俱乐部是国家足球发展的组织依托。 |
XIE Song-lin1，2，GONG Bo1，LI Feng-rong3，LUO Chong1，LIU Fei1
| （1.School of Physical Education and Training，Shanghai University of Sports，Shanghai 200438，China；2.School of Physical Education，Changsha Normal University，Changsha 410100，China；3.Department of Physical Education，Anhui University，Hefei 230039，China) Abstract: In order to explore related laws of football development, the authors analyzed the big data of scores and human resources released by the official website of FIFA, constructed a structural equation model of scores and human resources of football powers, and drew the following conclusions by analyzing the structural equation model: a football power is the result of synergy between the organization factor, the saturation factor and the scale factor, the relationships between the three factors and scores range from close to distant, but their influence effects increase sequentially; in addiction, a football power has two main lines, one is the talent growth chain, the other is the culture generation chain. It is known by compari-son that in China there are the following cognition insufficiencies: in terms of talent cultivation, the value of amateur play-ers is neglected; in terms of cultural construction, the significance of football population density is not realized; overall, it is insufficiently specified that football clubs are the organization reliance of national football development. |
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